Following one deposit
A family deposits $1,000. Under a 10% reserve rule the bank keeps $100 and lends $900. The borrower pays a builder, who deposits the $900 at another bank. That bank keeps $90 and lends $810, and so on. Every round is 90% of the round before, so the deposits are
$1,000 + $900 + $810 + $729 + …
The rounds shrink but never stop, and the total creeps toward $10,000. The original $1,000 has not been copied; it has been lent and re-deposited many times, and each re-deposit is a real balance someone can spend.
The ceiling
With reserve ratio r, each deposit returns a share q = 1 − r as the next deposit. The sum of the first n rounds is
D(1 − qn) / (1 − q),
and as n grows, qn shrinks to 0, leaving D / r. The number 1 / r is the simple money multiplier: 10 at a 10% ratio, 20 at 5%. When the chain is done, the reserves held by all the banks together add up to the whole first deposit, because each bank kept its share.
Why it is a ceiling
Each leak lowers q. If banks keep extra reserves e and the public keeps a share c of each loan as cash, then q = (1 − r − e)(1 − c) and the chain ends at D / (1 − q). The model also assumes every dollar a bank could lend finds a willing, creditworthy borrower; when it does not, the chain stops sooner. Since 2020 the U.S. requires no reserves at all, yet banks still hold them to settle payments and meet withdrawals, and capital and liquidity rules limit lending instead.
Check yourself
- Under a 10% reserve rule, $1,000 of new reserves is deposited and every loan is redeposited. Find the deposits in the first four rounds and their total.
Answer
$1,000, $900, $810 and $729, for a total of $3,439. The textbook maximum is $1,000 ÷ 0.10 = $10,000. Load the first example to check.
- If $170,000 of new reserves enters a system with an 8% reserve ratio, what is the most total deposits can grow?
Answer
The multiplier is 1 ÷ 0.08 = 12.5, so the most is $170,000 × 12.5 = $2,125,000.
- With a 10% ratio, how many rounds does it take for the total to pass 90% of the ceiling?
Answer
The total is 90% of the ceiling once 0.9n ≤ 0.1, so n ≥ ln 0.1 / ln 0.9 ≈ 21.9: 22 rounds. Press “+10 rounds” twice, then “Next round” twice, and read the percent.
- Same $1,000 at 10%, but banks keep 5% extra and people keep 10% of each loan as cash. Where does the chain end?
Answer
q = 0.85 × 0.90 = 0.765, so the chain ends at $1,000 ÷ 0.235 ≈ $4,255.32, well under half of the $10,000 ceiling. Of the first $1,000, about $638.30 ends up as bank reserves and $361.70 as cash in people’s hands.
A bit of history: In seventeenth-century London, goldsmiths kept merchants’ gold in their strongrooms and gave written receipts. Noticing that only a part was ever called for at once, they began lending out some of the gold, and their receipts began to pass from hand to hand like money: an early form of fractional-reserve banking.
“Wherefore then gavest not thou my money into the bank?” — Luke 19:23