School Launch

Scope and sequence · PE & Health

Playing the Odds

A year of chance, counting and wise choices for grades 4–7: how good players, coaches and families take the shot most likely to pay off while keeping the risk small, learned from Pascal and Fermat, Henry Chadwick, Rick Barry and the game table, and tested with real dice, coins and a soft ball at home.

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What to cover

32 of 32 lessons are MUST COVER. They are tested on the unit tests and exams, or are skills the SAT/ACT relies on. OPTIONAL lessons are enrichment. Do them if time allows. The course is complete when the MUST COVER lessons are done.

Unit 1: What Is Chance?

  • MUST COVER 1.1 Likely and Unlikely: The Probability Line · unit test
  • MUST COVER 1.2 Heads or Tails: Fair Choices · unit test
  • MUST COVER 1.3 Pascal and Fermat: The Unfinished Game · unit test
  • MUST COVER 1.4 The Lot Is Cast: Chance and Providence · unit test

Unit 2: Dice and Counting

  • MUST COVER 2.1 One Die, Six Faces · unit test
  • MUST COVER 2.2 Two Dice: Why 7 Comes Most Often · unit test
  • MUST COVER 2.3 Tally Charts and Galton’s Board · unit test
  • MUST COVER 2.4 Dice Have No Memory · unit test

Unit 3: Fair and Unfair Games

  • MUST COVER 3.1 What Makes a Game Fair? · unit test
  • MUST COVER 3.2 Spinners and Odd-or-Even · unit test
  • MUST COVER 3.3 Why Carnival Games Are Hard to Win · unit test
  • MUST COVER 3.4 Design a Fair Game · unit test

Unit 4: Points per Try

  • MUST COVER 4.1 Twos and Threes at a Home Basket · unit test
  • MUST COVER 4.2 Free Throws and Rick Barry’s Underhand Shot · unit test
  • MUST COVER 4.3 The Kick or Going for Two · unit test
  • MUST COVER 4.4 The Best Shot: Most Points per Try · unit test

Unit 5: Baseball by the Numbers

  • MUST COVER 5.1 Henry Chadwick’s Box Score · unit test
  • MUST COVER 5.2 Batting Average and On-Base Percentage · unit test
  • MUST COVER 5.3 Keeping Score of a Real Game · unit test
  • MUST COVER 5.4 Ty Cobb, Babe Ruth and the Numbers · unit test

Unit 6: The High-Percentage Shot

  • MUST COVER 6.1 Close to the Goal: Shots in Soccer · unit test
  • MUST COVER 6.2 The Shot Chart: Hockey’s Slot · unit test
  • MUST COVER 6.3 Aim for the Middle of the Green · unit test
  • MUST COVER 6.4 First Serve, Second Serve · unit test

Unit 7: Odds at the Game Table

  • MUST COVER 7.1 Yahtzee: Keep or Reroll? · unit test
  • MUST COVER 7.2 Battleship: Hunt and Target · unit test
  • MUST COVER 7.3 Monopoly’s Most-Landed Squares · unit test
  • MUST COVER 7.4 Can’t Stop: Knowing When to Stop · unit test

Unit 8: Wise Choices

  • MUST COVER 8.1 Safe and Risky Choices: Goalie Masks, Helmets and Seat Belts · unit test
  • MUST COVER 8.2 A Good Decision Can Still Lose · unit test
  • MUST COVER 8.3 Time and Chance: Eric Liddell · unit test
  • MUST COVER 8.4 Family Game Day · unit test

36-week pacing calendar

From the course’s own 32-week pacing guide, with catch-up and review weeks added to fill a 36-week (180-day) year.

WeekPlanDoneNotes
Wk 1Session 1: Lesson 1.1 Likely and Unlikely: The Probability Line: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 1.1 project and scorebook
Wk 2Session 1: Lesson 1.2 Heads or Tails: Fair Choices: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 1.2 project and scorebook
Wk 3Session 1: Lesson 1.3 Pascal and Fermat: The Unfinished Game: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 1.3 project and scorebook
Wk 4Session 1: Lesson 1.4 The Lot Is Cast: Chance and Providence: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 1.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 1 review and portfolio project
Wk 5Session 1: Lesson 2.1 One Die, Six Faces: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 2.1 project and scorebook
Wk 6Session 1: Lesson 2.2 Two Dice: Why 7 Comes Most Often: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 2.2 project and scorebook
Wk 7Session 1: Lesson 2.3 Tally Charts and Galton’s Board: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 2.3 project and scorebook
Wk 8Session 1: Lesson 2.4 Dice Have No Memory: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 2.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 2 review and portfolio project
Wk 9Session 1: Lesson 3.1 What Makes a Game Fair?: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 3.1 project and scorebook
Wk 10Session 1: Lesson 3.2 Spinners and Odd-or-Even: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 3.2 project and scorebook
Wk 11Session 1: Lesson 3.3 Why Carnival Games Are Hard to Win: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 3.3 project and scorebook
Wk 12Session 1: Lesson 3.4 Design a Fair Game: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 3.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 3 review and portfolio project
Wk 13Session 1: Lesson 4.1 Twos and Threes at a Home Basket: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 4.1 project and scorebook
Wk 14Session 1: Lesson 4.2 Free Throws and Rick Barry’s Underhand Shot: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 4.2 project and scorebook
Wk 15Session 1: Lesson 4.3 The Kick or Going for Two: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 4.3 project and scorebook
Wk 16Session 1: Lesson 4.4 The Best Shot: Most Points per Try: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 4.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 4 review and portfolio project
Wk 17Catch-up and review week (no new lessons)
Wk 18Session 1: Lesson 5.1 Henry Chadwick’s Box Score: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 5.1 project and scorebook
Wk 19Session 1: Lesson 5.2 Batting Average and On-Base Percentage: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 5.2 project and scorebook
Wk 20Session 1: Lesson 5.3 Keeping Score of a Real Game: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 5.3 project and scorebook
Wk 21Session 1: Lesson 5.4 Ty Cobb, Babe Ruth and the Numbers: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 5.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 5 review and portfolio project
Wk 22Session 1: Lesson 6.1 Close to the Goal: Shots in Soccer: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 6.1 project and scorebook
Wk 23Session 1: Lesson 6.2 The Shot Chart: Hockey’s Slot: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 6.2 project and scorebook
Wk 24Session 1: Lesson 6.3 Aim for the Middle of the Green: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 6.3 project and scorebook
Wk 25Session 1: Lesson 6.4 First Serve, Second Serve: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 6.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 6 review and portfolio project
Wk 26Session 1: Lesson 7.1 Yahtzee: Keep or Reroll?: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 7.1 project and scorebook
Wk 27Session 1: Lesson 7.2 Battleship: Hunt and Target: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 7.2 project and scorebook
Wk 28Session 1: Lesson 7.3 Monopoly’s Most-Landed Squares: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 7.3 project and scorebook
Wk 29Session 1: Lesson 7.4 Can’t Stop: Knowing When to Stop: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 7.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 7 review and portfolio project
Wk 30Session 1: Lesson 8.1 Safe and Risky Choices: Goalie Masks, Helmets and Seat Belts: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 8.1 project and scorebook
Wk 31Session 1: Lesson 8.2 A Good Decision Can Still Lose: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 8.2 project and scorebook
Wk 32Session 1: Lesson 8.3 Time and Chance: Eric Liddell: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 8.3 project and scorebook
Wk 33Session 1: Lesson 8.4 Family Game Day: warm-up, video, teaching and picture study
Session 2: Lesson 8.4 project and scorebook
Session 3: Unit 8 review and portfolio project
Wk 34Catch-up week: finish any MUST COVER lesson not yet done
Wk 35Catch-up week: finish any MUST COVER lesson not yet done
Wk 36Year-end review, portfolio and records

Grading: Projects (prediction, honest tallies, comparison, decision) 40%, Scorebook (neat, dated, complete and honest) 20%, Unit reviews 15%, Portfolio projects 25%. Scale: A 90–100, B 80–89, C 70–79, D 60–69. Below 60: redo the project or review with help.